topicspace · lab · spatial field
spatial expectation field
Each active expectation occupies a fixed position in 2D claim space, set at birth: directional bias on the X axis (bearish ↔ neutral ↔ bullish, the direction the expectation predicts) and cohort breadth on the Y axis (narrow ↔ medium ↔ broad, the scope of what the expectation claims). The position represents what each expectation predicted, not the current evidence. Pressure (cell color, green low → red high) is the live evidence overlay — the fraction of expectations in that cell currently weakening against their own claim.
per-cell trajectory
how density of each cell changed over time. spikes mark days when claims of that shape were spawned; flat lines = stable occupancy.
bearish · broad
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
neutral · broad
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
bullish · broad
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
bearish · medium
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
neutral · medium
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
bullish · medium
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
bearish · narrow
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
neutral · narrow
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
bullish · narrow
occ 0/0press 0%max 0
filmstrip
6 evenly-spaced grid snapshots across the window. scan left to right to watch the field's claim distribution shift over time.
How to read this. Position = claim: where each expectation predicted the cohort would land at the moment it was born. Position is fixed for the life of an expectation. Color = evidence: the fraction of expectations in that cell currently weakening against their own claim. Flux = parent → child refinement movement in claim-space (a child claiming a narrower or different direction than its parent). Empty cells reveal what the system has not thought to claim — for the current 6-family corpus, both
bearish · broad and neutral · broad are empty: every broad claim the system has made has been bullish.