TSMdeterioratinghightransition 2026-05-31negative confirmation
TSM: Bearish thesis validated — disagreement resolved to the downside
disagreement→negative confirmation· 2d in prior
After 2d of DISAGREEMENT, price broke down. Negative narrative confirmed: Advanced node demand; geopolitical risk
watchNEG_CONFIRMATION held ≥3d is structural bearish. Watch for potential T7 reversal.
historyHistorical SNB→MWT: -1.06pp avg, n=18
TSMimprovinghightransition 2026-05-28disagreement
TSM: Bearish thesis challenged — price recovering against negative narrative
negative confirmation→disagreement· 21d in prior
After 21d of NEG_CONFIRMATION, price began recovering. Bears may be losing grip: Advanced node demand; geopolitical risk
watchIf narr stays high (negative) and price holds, this may be a short-squeeze dynamic.