Alerts

· META

State changes, setup conditions, and structure tensions that crossed a meaningful threshold.

2026-05-14 · 35 alerts in last 7 days · 8 active today

ActorallADBEAMDAMZNANETARMAVGOCRWVDDOGDELLGOOGLINTCMETAMPMRVLMSFTNBISNFLXNVDASMCISNOWTSMTTDVST
Typealldeterioratingunresolvedpersistentimproving
deteriorating1
improving2
Active today · META
METAimprovinghightransition
2026-05-14price lagging narrative
META: Divergence compressing — watch for confirmation or narrative fade
story not being paidprice lagging narrative· 4d in prior
After 4d of divergence, the gap is compressing. Resolves to confirmation or narrative collapse: AI chips and data center build-out
watchNDS direction is the tell. Rising → confirmation path. Falling → narrative fading.
historyHistorical SNB→PLN: +1.39pp avg, n=40
Earlier this week
METAdeterioratinghightransition
2026-05-09story not being paid
META: Repricing turning to divergence — narrative-price gap widening
price lagging narrativestory not being paid· 2d in prior
After 2d of REPRICING, price still hasn't followed the narrative. Story: AI chips and data center build-out
watchIf narr stays elevated, gap may snap into confirmation. If narr fades, thesis is dying quietly.
historyHistorical PLN→SNB: +2.48pp avg, n=45
METAimprovinghightransition
2026-05-07price lagging narrative
META: Divergence compressing — watch for confirmation or narrative fade
story not being paidprice lagging narrative· 3d in prior
After 3d of divergence, the gap is compressing. Resolves to confirmation or narrative collapse: AI chips and data center build-out
watchNDS direction is the tell. Rising → confirmation path. Falling → narrative fading.
historyHistorical SNB→PLN: +1.39pp avg, n=40
Clear filter · show all 35 alerts
Alerts fire when a state transition or setup condition crosses a meaningful threshold — minimum 2 days in prior state, minimum narrative count of 15, fire-once suppression per state run. One-day flips are not reported.
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