L0 Event Field BUILT
Raw signal layer. Every event becomes a point in a 1,536-dimensional semantic space at the timestamp of its occurrence, with actors linked, source, relevance, and a data-quality flag.
adds Captures every news, filing, transcript, and social post naming AVGO, point-in-time, ready for upstream clustering.
today 1,296 events naming AVGO in the 132-day window where every layer has coverage (2,232 in the full L0 corpus). Sources: NewsAPI, Finnhub news + transcripts, Reddit, X-amplification, SEC filings.
events per day naming AVGO 1,296 total · peak 61 on 04-07
Peak day sample: “Broadcom, Alphabet enter long-term supply agreement”
Minor gaps 10 of 132 days in this window had zero events for AVGO. Some of this is real news quietness; some reflects pipeline gaps in Dec 2025 / Jan 2026 / early Feb 2026 (post-holiday weeks where fetch_today.py ran in degraded mode). A targeted gap backfill ran on 2026-05-18 to repair this; daily health checks were added downstream to prevent recurrence.
L1 Narrative Field BUILT / SHADOW VALIDATED
Events embed into a shared semantic space and cluster into coherent storms. Each storm has a stable ID that persists across days through F-002 lineage matching.
adds Places AVGO inside a named narrative each day — and tracks when its center of mass shifts to a different one.
today Primary cluster: “week / investors / about” . Density (7d): 0.214 (momentum -0.014 , novelty 0.28 ). Cluster labels are auto-generated from the full event neighborhood — actor membership reflects shared AI-sector coverage, not exclusive company-specific coverage.
AVGO’s primary cluster over time 113 distinct clusters · 119 transitions
Colored band = primary cluster label. Line = semantic_density_7d. Cluster transitions are where the actor’s narrative center of mass shifted.
2026-01-02
Insider confidence in growth stocks
8d in this narrative
2026-02-10
AI-driven semiconductor market dynamics
1d in this narrative
2026-03-19
Super Micro's AI and market dynamics
2d in this narrative
2026-04-27
Broadcom's AI chip partnerships surge
5d in this narrative
L2 Expectation Field BUILT V1
Forward views per actor, embedded into the same semantic space and attached to their nearest L1 storm.
adds Turns AVGO's narrative position into a directional thesis with conviction — a daily forward expectation.
today Latest: mixed rotational at conviction 0.60 . “AVGO's price is currently ahead of its narrative, with insider activity cooling, suggesting a period of narrative catch-up is likely. The semiconductor sector shows mixed signals, with AVGO's peers like MU and ARM also experiencing price-led states, indicating potential rotationa”
AVGO’s daily expectation 130 days · direction = bar color · conviction = bar height
2025-11-24 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's confirmed state suggests a strong narrative presence, but the negative narrative dislocation score indicates potential challenges ahead. Expect price action to remain under pressure in the near term. 2025-11-25 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — In the next 1-2 months, AVGO is likely to experience a mixed trajectory, maintaining confirmation of its narrative despite some narrative dislocation. The cooling insider activity may weigh on short-term sentiment, but overall structural support remains strong. 2025-11-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's strong narrative around custom silicon is not translating into price gains, as indicated by the negative narrative dislocation score. The cooling insider activity also suggests caution in the near term. 2025-11-28 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO shows a confirmed state with a solid relative performance, suggesting continued strength in the near term despite cooling insider activity. The narrative remains stable and is likely to support further price appreciation. 2025-12-01 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO is poised for a continued upward trajectory in the near term, supported by a confirmed narrative and positive relative performance. The cooling of insider activity suggests a potential stabilization that may attract further investor interest. 2025-12-02 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's repricing suggests ongoing challenges, particularly with the cooling of insider activity impacting sentiment. Expect continued pressure in the near term as the narrative struggles to gain traction. 2025-12-03 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO is experiencing a repricing phase with a notable narrative shift, indicating potential volatility. The cooling insider activity may weigh on sentiment, but the recent NDS suggests some underlying strength. 2025-12-04 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — AVGO is experiencing a divergence as narrative strength wanes and relative performance declines. A potential inflection point may emerge as the market reassesses the implications of insider activity cooling. 2025-12-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The structural picture indicates continued repricing pressures, with narrative weakening and insider activity cooling. Expect potential further downward adjustments in the near term as the market reassesses valuation. 2025-12-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure on AVGO's price as the narrative weakens and insider activity cools. The significant negative narrative dislocation score suggests a challenging environment ahead. 2025-12-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The recent price-led state, combined with a negative narrative and dislocation score, suggests continued bearish pressure in the near term. Insider activity cooling may further impact sentiment negatively. 2025-12-10 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The price-led state indicates a potential continuation of bearish sentiment, particularly with a negative narrative score trending downward. Expect further pressure in the coming months as insiders remain inactive. 2025-12-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO's price remains under pressure with a negative narrative dislocation score, indicating ongoing challenges in translating positive sentiment into price gains. Expect continued bearish sentiment as the market reacts to cooling insider activity. 2025-12-12 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — AVGO's trajectory suggests uncertainty with a cooling narrative and lack of follow-through. The recent divergence within the semiconductor sector indicates potential challenges ahead. 2025-12-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO's narrative around custom silicon is failing to translate into price action, indicating continued bearish pressure. The divergence from peers suggests a challenging environment ahead, likely leading to further price underperformance in the near term. 2025-12-16 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO's narrative is under pressure, with a significant divergence between story and price performance. The cooling insider activity suggests caution, but the positive narrative divergence score indicates potential for upward movement if conditions align. 2025-12-17 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued divergence as positive narrative fails to translate into price recovery, given the cooling insider activity and persistent negative relative performance. Caution is advised as market sentiment remains bearish. 2025-12-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued price pressure despite a strong narrative on custom silicon, as the divergence pattern persists. Market sentiment suggests a struggle to translate positive narrative into price performance. 2025-12-19 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's narrative pressure is high, indicating potential challenges ahead. The divergence in performance suggests a continued bearish sentiment over the next couple of months. 2025-12-22 · neutral_macro · conv 0.60 — The next 1-2 months may see continued repricing as market sentiment stabilizes, but insider activity cooling suggests limited upward momentum. Expect fluctuations as the narrative evolves. 2025-12-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing as the narrative stabilizes but insider activity remains subdued. This suggests a cautious outlook with potential for further volatility. 2025-12-24 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the positive narrative and early state, AVGO is likely to see a continuation of upward momentum in the coming weeks. The cooling insider activity may stabilize the stock further. 2025-12-26 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — AVGO is showing early signs of stabilizing after recent fluctuations, but the narrative around custom silicon and insider activity remains a concern. The next couple of months may see a cautious approach as the market assesses these factors. 2025-12-29 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — With a positive narrative dislocation score and early state classification, AVGO is likely to experience continued upward momentum over the next couple of months. However, cooling insider activity suggests caution as market sentiment may shift. 2025-12-30 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is positioned for a bullish trajectory in the near term, as the narrative remains stable and the NDS is positive. The recent price movements indicate a potential continuation of this trend. 2025-12-31 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued repricing as the narrative remains stable but lacks momentum. Cooling insider activity suggests potential headwinds. 2026-01-02 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The next couple of months may see continued repricing as the narrative indicates cooling insider activity, potentially leading to mixed performance. Investors should monitor external sector influences closely. 2026-01-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The immediate outlook suggests continued repricing as the narrative weakens and insider activity cools, impacting investor confidence. A cautious approach is warranted as price trends lag the narrative. 2026-01-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — AVGO is expected to face continued pressure in the near term as the repricing reflects a lagging narrative, with cooling insider activity contributing to bearish sentiment. The trajectory suggests a cautious approach as the market reassesses its valuation. 2026-01-07 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — AVGO is likely to experience further downward pressure in the near term, as the repricing state reflects a disconnect between narrative strength and price performance. The cooling insider activity adds to concerns about momentum. 2026-01-08 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — AVGO's current unclear state suggests potential volatility in the near term, with a mix of bearish and bullish signals. The cooling of insider activity may weigh on sentiment, but the narrative around custom silicon remains relevant. 2026-01-09 · inflection_pending · conv 0.40 — The near-term trajectory appears uncertain, with recent narrative dislocation and a lack of follow-through in price action. A potential stabilization may occur if narratives gain traction. 2026-01-12 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — AVGO's narrative of custom silicon remains intact, but the current unclear state and negative narrative dislocation suggest that price movement may be limited in the near term. The divergence seen in peers indicates that AVGO may struggle to gain traction. 2026-01-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued price weakness as the narrative struggles to provide support, particularly with cooling insider activity and a negative divergence in the semiconductor sector. 2026-01-14 · inflection_pending · conv 0.40 — The next couple of months may remain volatile as the narrative is unclear and insider activity is cooling. A cautious approach is warranted given recent divergences and lack of follow-through in price action. 2026-01-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the price-led state and negative narrative dislocation score, AVGO is expected to face continued downward pressure in the coming months. The cooling of insider activity further supports a bearish outlook. 2026-01-16 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current early state suggests a potential for price recovery in the next month, supported by a positive narrative and improving NDS. However, insider activity cooling may temper enthusiasm. 2026-01-20 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO is currently in a repricing phase, reflecting a struggle between narrative and price action. The next couple of months may see continued volatility as the market reassesses its stance on custom silicon amid cooling insider activity. 2026-01-21 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next couple of months may see continued divergence between the positive narrative around custom silicon and price performance, potentially leading to further downward pressure. The cooling insider activity adds to the uncertainty in the near term. 2026-01-22 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is currently experiencing a repricing phase, but the persistent negative relative performance indicates a bearish trend. Expect continued pressure in the near term as the market reacts to the cooling insider activity. 2026-01-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the current divergence state and consistent narrative failure to impact price, AVGO is likely to continue underperforming relative to its narrative. The cooling insider activity may further contribute to bearish sentiment in the near term. 2026-01-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the divergence state and the negative relative return, AVGO is likely to continue facing selling pressure in the near term. The narrative around custom silicon isn't translating into price gains, suggesting further challenges ahead. 2026-01-27 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's narrative remains strong, yet the repricing indicates continued price lagging. Expect further challenges in the near term as insider activity cools. 2026-01-28 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is in a repricing state with a narrative that remains strong but is not translating into positive price movement. Expect continued pressure in the near term as the market adjusts to the cooling insider activity. 2026-01-29 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO appears to be in a prolonged repricing phase as it struggles to align price with its positive narrative. The cooling insider activity adds to concerns, suggesting potential further declines in the near term. 2026-01-30 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's early state suggests a positive trajectory as price begins to follow narrative momentum. Continued monitoring of insider activity and broader sector trends will be crucial for sustained growth. 2026-02-02 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's current early state suggests a potential bullish trajectory as price begins to align with strong narrative support. Given the cooling insider activity, the market may react positively in the near term. 2026-02-03 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is facing ongoing repricing pressures with a narrative that is not translating into positive price movement. The trajectory indicates a struggle to regain momentum in the near term. 2026-02-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is likely to continue facing downward pressure as the narrative around custom silicon fails to translate into price gains. The current repricing state suggests a prolonged struggle ahead. 2026-02-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is expected to remain under pressure in the near term as the repricing state persists, with a lagging narrative contributing to a bearish outlook. The cooling insider activity further complicates recovery prospects. 2026-02-06 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — AVGO appears to be at a pivotal moment, showing signs of early recovery after a period of repricing. However, the broader semiconductor sector faces challenges, and narrative pressures may influence future performance. 2026-02-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued price pressure as the narrative around custom silicon fails to gain traction. The divergence with peers suggests a challenging environment for AVGO. 2026-02-10 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — The next 1-2 months may see continued price-led movements while the narrative remains uncertain due to cooling insider activity. Watch for potential stabilization or further dislocation in the semiconductor sector. 2026-02-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued price pressure as the narrative remains negative and insider activity cools. Expect challenges in regaining upward momentum. 2026-02-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO's price-led state suggests continued downward pressure in the near term, driven by a negative narrative and dislocated sentiment. Expect a challenging environment as insider activity cools and the narrative remains weak. 2026-02-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — With the current macro state and cooling insider activity, AVGO is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The negative narrative and dislocation indicate a challenging environment ahead. 2026-02-17 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued repricing pressure as the narrative cools and insider activity diminishes. The structural indicators suggest a challenging environment for price recovery. 2026-02-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is likely to experience continued pricing pressure as the narrative around custom silicon fails to translate into price gains. Insider activity cooling suggests further caution among investors. 2026-02-19 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO is in a repricing phase with a narrative that is lagging behind market performance. The recent cooling in insider activity suggests caution, but the overall context indicates potential for stabilization in the coming months. 2026-02-20 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next couple of months are likely to see continued repricing as the narrative remains weak and insider activity cools. Pressure from peers with stronger narratives may further challenge AVGO's performance. 2026-02-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the current macro state and negative trajectory, AVGO is likely to face continued price pressure in the near term. The divergence in narrative and price suggests that the market is not rewarding the semiconductor story as expected. 2026-02-24 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is expected to face continued downward pressure in the near term as the repricing state persists, indicating a challenging environment despite a narrative focused on custom silicon. The cooling insider activity may further dampen investor sentiment. 2026-02-25 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — AVGO's trajectory reflects a macro state with cooling insider activity and a narrative under pressure. Expect some volatility in the near term as the market grapples with mixed signals from peers. 2026-02-26 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO's current state indicates a mixed outlook with narrative pressure cooling and relative performance trailing behind peers. Expect fluctuations as market sentiment stabilizes and insider activity remains subdued. 2026-02-27 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The current structural state indicates a cautious outlook as insider activity cools and the narrative pressure remains moderate. Expect fluctuations without strong directional momentum in the near term. 2026-03-02 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Over the next 1-2 months, AVGO is likely to continue facing downward pressure as repricing persists, reflecting a narrative lag in the semiconductor sector. The cooling insider activity further complicates the outlook. 2026-03-03 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's current repricing state suggests continued pressure on the stock price, especially given the cooling insider activity and a narrative that is not translating into positive returns. Expect a challenging environment in the near term. 2026-03-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is likely to continue facing headwinds in the near term as the narrative around custom silicon fails to translate into price performance. The current repricing state suggests ongoing challenges. 2026-03-05 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO is showing early signs of recovery with positive narrative metrics, but faces a challenging sector environment where similar actors are struggling to translate narrative strength into price performance. Caution is warranted as the broader semiconductor sector remains under p 2026-03-06 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural indicators suggest a continuation of positive price action as AVGO transitions into a more favorable narrative state. With a solid NDS and improving relative performance, a bullish outlook is warranted for the next couple of months. 2026-03-09 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is positioned for continued strength in the next 1-2 months, supported by a confirmed state and positive relative performance. The narrative around custom silicon remains strong despite some cooling in insider activity. 2026-03-10 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The confirmed state and positive NDS indicate strong momentum, suggesting a potential bullish continuation in the near term. Expect further price stability as the narrative around custom silicon strengthens. 2026-03-11 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — With a confirmed narrative and positive NDS, AVGO is likely to maintain its upward trajectory in the near term. The cooling insider activity suggests a stable outlook without immediate disruptions. 2026-03-12 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural indicators show early signs of positive momentum with a stable narrative. Expect continued upward movement in the near term as the price aligns with the narrative. 2026-03-13 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — As AVGO enters a repricing phase, the narrative remains strong, but the recent cooling in insider activity suggests a potential shift. Expect volatility as the market reassesses the stock's value in the coming months. 2026-03-16 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — Over the next couple of months, AVGO is likely to experience continued repricing pressure as insider activity cools and the narrative remains stagnant. The recent negative relative return suggests that the stock may struggle to gain traction. 2026-03-17 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The current divergence state suggests a potential inflection point, though the cooling insider activity and negative relative return indicate caution. Expect volatility as the market reassesses its narrative. 2026-03-18 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — AVGO's current divergence state suggests a lack of consensus in the market, with the narrative supporting a bullish stance but price action not aligning. Expect continued volatility as the market assesses insider activity and the custom silicon narrative. 2026-03-19 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing as the narrative stabilizes around custom silicon despite cooling insider activity. Expect further downward pressure on the price as it adjusts to the current narrative landscape. 2026-03-20 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — AVGO's current repricing state suggests a potential stabilization in price action following recent fluctuations. However, cooling insider activity and a lagging narrative indicate caution in the near term. 2026-03-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued repricing as the narrative stabilizes but insider activity cools. Overall, sentiment is cautious with potential for further downward pressure. 2026-03-24 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates a potential bullish continuation as price begins to stabilize. The positive NDS suggests that the momentum may carry forward in the coming months. 2026-03-25 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO shows early signs of price alignment with a strong narrative, suggesting continued upward momentum in the next 1-2 months. The cooling insider activity may temper some enthusiasm, but overall conditions remain favorable. 2026-03-26 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO is in a repricing phase with a narrative that remains strong but is not translating into price movement. The divergence with peers suggests potential volatility ahead. 2026-03-27 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — AVGO's current repricing state suggests a challenging path ahead, as price continues to lag behind a strong narrative. The cooling insider activity may further dampen investor sentiment in the near term. 2026-03-30 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's price is expected to remain under pressure as the narrative around custom silicon fails to translate into market performance. The continued repricing suggests a bearish outlook in the near term. 2026-03-31 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — AVGO is experiencing a repricing phase with a narrative that remains strong but is accompanied by a cooling in insider activity. This suggests a cautious outlook in the near term, with potential for further downward pressure on the stock price. 2026-04-01 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's narrative remains strong, yet the price is lagging, indicating potential further downside in the near term. The cooling insider activity may add to the cautious sentiment around the stock. 2026-04-02 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — Over the next 1-2 months, AVGO is expected to face continued repricing pressure as the narrative surrounding custom silicon remains strong, but insider activity cooling suggests potential headwinds. The recent trajectory indicates a struggle to maintain upward momentum. 2026-04-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see a continuation of repricing as the narrative remains strong but the price struggles to catch up. Insider activity cooling may weigh on sentiment. 2026-04-07 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO's confirmed state and strong relative performance suggest continued upward momentum in the near term. The narrative around custom silicon remains robust despite cooling insider activity. 2026-04-08 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO's current confirmed state and positive relative return suggest continued strength in the near term. However, the cooling of insider activity may temper enthusiasm as the market assesses sustainability. 2026-04-09 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — In the next 1-2 months, AVGO is likely to maintain its upward trajectory as the price confirms the narrative of custom silicon innovation, despite broader sector challenges. The positive relative return strengthens this outlook. 2026-04-10 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current state shows a significant negative narrative dislocation, suggesting continued price pressure in the near term. While AVGO's relative performance is strong, the broader semiconductor context and cooling insider activity may weigh on future performance. 2026-04-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The confirmed state and negative narrative dislocation suggest a challenging environment ahead for AVGO, with potential for continued price pressure. The cooling insider activity may further dampen investor sentiment in the near term. 2026-04-14 · inflection_pending · conv 0.70 — AVGO shows confirmed strength with a positive trajectory, but insider activity cooling may lead to cautious sentiment in the near term. Expect potential price fluctuations as it navigates sector pressures. 2026-04-15 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO shows a stable narrative with confirmed structural support. The positive relative performance suggests continued bullishness in the near term, despite some cooling in insider activity. 2026-04-16 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO's recent performance reflects a stable narrative despite cooling insider activity. A cautious approach may be warranted as it navigates potential market fluctuations in the semiconductor sector. 2026-04-17 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO is positioned in an early state with a positive narrative score, indicating potential for upward movement. However, cooling insider activity suggests caution in the near term. 2026-04-20 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The current repricing state suggests potential volatility as the market reassesses AVGO's narrative. With insider activity cooling, there may be a cautious sentiment in the near term as the price attempts to align with the narrative. 2026-04-21 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO shows early structural signs of price recovery, but with cooling insider activity, caution is warranted. The trajectory suggests potential for further volatility in the coming months. 2026-04-22 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — AVGO's early state suggests a potential for price stabilization, but cooling insider activity may limit upward momentum. The narrative remains strong, yet price performance is suboptimal compared to peers. 2026-04-23 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — In the next couple of months, AVGO is likely to see a gradual price increase as the narrative stabilizes and begins to align more closely with market performance. The current early state suggests potential for upward movement. 2026-04-24 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — AVGO shows early signs of a potential recovery, with a positive narrative score and a slight uptick in relative performance. However, the cooling of insider activity suggests caution as the market adjusts. The next couple of months could see stabilization or gradual improvement. 2026-04-27 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is positioned for a positive trajectory in the coming months, as it benefits from a narrative of custom silicon amid a broader market shift. The price appears to be starting to follow this narrative, suggesting potential upward movement. 2026-04-28 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — AVGO is expected to face continued pricing pressures as the narrative around custom silicon struggles to translate into positive price action. The recent cooling of insider activity further complicates the outlook, suggesting a challenging environment ahead. 2026-04-29 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The near-term outlook suggests continued pressure on AVGO's price as it remains in a divergence state, with narrative strength not translating into positive performance. The cooling insider activity may further contribute to bearish sentiment. 2026-04-30 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued repricing as the narrative remains stable, but mixed signals from insider activity could lead to volatility. The relative underperformance against benchmarks suggests caution. 2026-05-01 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is likely to experience continued price lag as the narrative remains strong but is not translating into market performance. The cooling insider activity may contribute to ongoing repricing pressures in the near term. 2026-05-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing pressures as the narrative around custom silicon and cooling insider activity weighs on sentiment. A cautious outlook is warranted given the current trajectory. 2026-05-05 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — AVGO is positioned for potential upward movement as it transitions from a repricing phase to an early state, indicating a possible recovery in price alignment with its narrative. However, the cooling insider activity suggests caution ahead. 2026-05-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO faces continued repricing pressures, with narratives around custom silicon failing to translate into price support. The semiconductor sector's broader struggles may further weigh on AVGO's performance in the coming months. 2026-05-07 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO's narrative remains strong, but price continues to lag, indicating a bearish continuation in the near term. The divergence from the positive narrative suggests ongoing challenges in translating story into price action. 2026-05-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is likely to continue facing downward pressure as it struggles with narrative lagging behind price performance. The broader semiconductor sector rotation towards commodity names adds to the headwinds for AVGO's custom silicon narrative. 2026-05-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — AVGO's repricing state indicates ongoing challenges in aligning price with its strong narrative around custom silicon. Given the cooling insider activity and broader sector trends, expect continued pressure on price in the near term. 2026-05-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The structural divergence indicates that AVGO's positive narrative is not translating into price appreciation, suggesting continued bearish pressure in the short term. Expect further challenges as insider activity cools. 2026-05-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — AVGO is likely to continue facing downward pressure as the repricing state persists, with narrative strength failing to translate into price momentum. The cooling insider activity may further weigh on investor sentiment in the near term. 2026-05-14 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — AVGO is showing early signs of recovery as price begins to follow the narrative. However, caution remains due to the broader sector pressures and cooling insider activity. 2026-05-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next couple of months are likely to see continued repricing as the narrative around AVGO remains strong but struggles to translate into price gains. Given the cooling insider activity and the overall sector sentiment, further price weakness may be anticipated. 2026-05-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is likely to continue facing downward pressure as the narrative around custom silicon fails to translate into price gains. The current repricing state suggests further challenges ahead in the next couple of months. 2026-05-19 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — AVGO's current repricing state, coupled with a strong narrative around custom silicon, suggests a potential for price recovery. However, insider activity cooling may dampen immediate price appreciation. The ongoing divergence pattern, where AVGO's narrative consistently outpaces 2026-05-20 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — AVGO continues to experience a narrative leading price scenario with its custom silicon initiatives, yet the stock struggles to break out from a repricing phase. Despite a strong narrative score, insider activity cooling may be contributing to the lack of price momentum. The broa 2026-05-21 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — AVGO's custom silicon story continues to captivate but fails to translate into price action, as evidenced by its current repricing state with a positive NDS of +42.7. Insider activity cooling suggests a potential pause in momentum, yet the stock's relative return remains slightly 2026-05-24 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is experiencing a strong narrative around its custom silicon offerings, yet its price is lagging, as indicated by a positive NDS of +24.0. With insider activity cooling but no dominant cross-actor patterns affecting its trajectory, the stock is poised for a potential price c 2026-05-25 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — AVGO is likely to experience a catch-up in its stock price over the next month as the strong narrative around its custom silicon offerings continues to lead the price. The recent insider activity cooling does not seem to undermine the fundamental story, which remains robust. Give 2026-05-26 · inflection_pending · conv 0.60 — AVGO is experiencing a narrative-driven repricing phase with its custom silicon story leading the price action significantly, as indicated by a positive NDS of +17.0. Despite the strong narrative, the stock has underperformed relative to the broader market, showing a -3.8% relati 2026-05-28 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.70 — Broadcom (AVGO) is currently experiencing a mismatch between its positive narrative and lagging share price, evidenced by its consistent REPRICING state. Despite a strong narrative driven by its custom silicon initiatives, insider activity cooling reflects potential internal unce 2026-05-29 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — Broadcom's custom silicon narrative is robust, but the stock has been unable to keep pace with the story, as evidenced by its persistent repricing state and positive NDS. Insider activity cooling might be dampening investor enthusiasm, contributing to underperformance relative to 2026-05-31 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Despite a cooling in insider activity, AVGO's custom silicon narrative remains robust, leading its price. The stock has been repricing for over a month, with narrative scores consistently high and positive NDS indicative of potential upward price adjustments as the market catches 2026-06-01 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — AVGO's price is currently ahead of its narrative, with insider activity cooling, suggesting a period of narrative catch-up is likely. The semiconductor sector shows mixed signals, with AVGO's peers like MU and ARM also experiencing price-led states, indicating potential rotationa Each bar = one day’s forward expectation. Green = bullish, red = bearish, grey = neutral. Bar height = model conviction at parse time (not a calibrated probability).
2025-11-24 FIRST
bearish cont. 0.70
“AVGO's confirmed state suggests a strong narrative presence, but the negative narrative dislocation score indicates potential challenges ahead. Expect price action to remain under pressure in the near term.”
2026-01-02
mixed rot. 0.65
“The next couple of months may see continued repricing as the narrative indicates cooling insider activity, potentially leading to mixed performance. Investors should monitor external sector influences closely.”
2026-02-10
mixed rot. 0.60
“The next 1-2 months may see continued price-led movements while the narrative remains uncertain due to cooling insider activity. Watch for potential stabilization or further dislocation in the semiconductor sector.”
2026-03-19
bearish cont. 0.70
“The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing as the narrative stabilizes around custom silicon despite cooling insider activity. Expect further downward pressure on the price as it adjusts to the current narrative landscape.”
2026-04-27
bullish cont. 0.70
“AVGO is positioned for a positive trajectory in the coming months, as it benefits from a narrative of custom silicon amid a broader market shift. The price appears to be starting to follow this narrative, suggesting potential upward movement.”
2026-06-01 TODAY
mixed rot. 0.60
“AVGO's price is currently ahead of its narrative, with insider activity cooling, suggesting a period of narrative catch-up is likely. The semiconductor sector shows mixed signals, with AVGO's peers like MU and ARM also experiencing price-led states, indicating potential rotationa”
L3 Expectation Lifecycle Field BUILT V1
Each (actor, theme, direction-sign) is a persistent thesis tracked through typed lifecycle events: born / strengthened / weakened / contradicted / retired.
adds Turns AVGO's daily expectation summaries into a memory system. Theses you can follow for weeks, not snapshots that vanish overnight.
today 83 theses tracked over the window; 3 active today, 0 persistent (≥3 daily versions). Lifecycle events: born 83 · strengthened 1 · weakened 1 · contradicted 6 · retired 86.
AVGO’s expectation theses 24 theses shown · 83 total
↓ Insider confidence in growth stocks
─ Insider confidence in growth stocks
↓ Trump's Market Influence and Reactions
─ Marvell Technology's AI Growth Potential
↓ Market Sentiment on Datadog and Trade Desk
↓ Memory stocks driven by AI demand
↑ Corporate filings and disclosures
↓ Corporate filings and disclosures
─ Corporate filings and disclosures
↓ AI stock market dynamics and trends
↑ Market sentiment and stock movements
─ Constellation Energy stock performance analysis
↓ Constellation Energy stock performance analysis
↓ Super Micro's AI and market dynamics
↓ Broadcom's AI Valuation and Growth Potential
↑ Broadcom's AI Valuation and Growth Potential
─ Broadcom's AI Valuation and Growth Potential
↑ Earnings season insights and stock analysis
─ Earnings season insights and stock analysis
↑ Broadcom's AI chip partnerships surge
↓ Broadcom's AI chip partnerships surge
↓ Netflix stock volatility and investor sentiment
↓ Market Reactions to Tech Stock Developments
─ Market Reactions to Tech Stock Developments
● born▲ strengthened▼ weakened✕ contradicted○ retired
2026-01-02
2 active theses
2026-02-10
2 active theses
2026-03-19
4 active theses
2026-04-27
2 active theses
L4 Performance Field BUILT V1
Slices expectations into regions of (theme × direction) and asks, for each, whether forward returns relative to QQQ moved in the predicted direction. 5d / 10d / 20d horizons. Walk-forward — every observation uses only information available on its date.
adds Closes the loop. Realized outcomes calibrate which regions of the field actually pay.
today System-wide: 65 public regions (73 limited, 343 insufficient) across 2,377 signed observations. All-expectations baseline runs 48% at 5d / 50% at 20d — close to chance overall, with edge concentrated in specific regions. 14 public regions are flagged inverted (corpus hit ≤ 30%); the operating layer reads them as contrarian. AVGO appears in 15 public regions and 15 limited, including 4 inverted.
AVGO appears in 56 signed regions · showing top 6 by n_obs
theme · direction sample 5d hit 20d hit actors
↓ AI stock market dynamics and trends
n=47
32% (-16pp)
35% (-14pp)
15
↓ Corporate filings and disclosures
n=25
52% (+4pp)
36% (-14pp)
14
↓ ↑ INV Nvidia's strategic moves in AI semiconductors
n=23
22% (-26pp)
30% (-19pp)
9
↓ Alphabet earnings and AI investments
n=20
70% (+22pp)
—
8
↓ Constellation Energy stock performance analysis
n=20
70% (+22pp)
45% (-5pp)
11
↓ Dell Technologies Growth and Challenges
n=19
42% (-6pp)
47% (-2pp)
8
Hit rate = share of forward returns that moved in the predicted direction relative to QQQ. Delta vs the all-expectations baseline (48% at 5d, 50% at 20d). Green ≥ +10pp · red ≤ −10pp. Tiers: n ≥ 10 public, n 5–9 limited (shown with caveat), n < 5 insufficient (hit rate suppressed). INV badge: region flagged inverted (corpus hit_5d ≤ 30% on public tier); operating layer reads the contrarian direction (strike-through glyph shows the original L2 read, second glyph shows the effective direction).