L0 Event Field BUILT
Raw signal layer. Every event becomes a point in a 1,536-dimensional semantic space at the timestamp of its occurrence, with actors linked, source, relevance, and a data-quality flag.
adds Captures every news, filing, transcript, and social post naming VST, point-in-time, ready for upstream clustering.
today 382 events naming VST in the 131-day window where every layer has coverage (859 in the full L0 corpus). Sources: NewsAPI, Finnhub news + transcripts, Reddit, X-amplification, SEC filings.
events per day naming VST 382 total · peak 42 on 01-09
Peak day sample: “Meta signs nuclear energy deals to power Prometheus AI supercluster”
Some gaps 21 of 131 days in this window had zero events for VST — longest gap 3 consecutive days. Some of this is real news quietness; some reflects pipeline gaps in Dec 2025 / Jan 2026 / early Feb 2026 (post-holiday weeks where fetch_today.py ran in degraded mode). A targeted gap backfill ran on 2026-05-18 to repair this; daily health checks were added downstream to prevent recurrence.
L1 Narrative Field BUILT / SHADOW VALIDATED
Events embed into a shared semantic space and cluster into coherent storms. Each storm has a stable ID that persists across days through F-002 lineage matching.
adds Places VST inside a named narrative each day — and tracks when its center of mass shifts to a different one.
today Primary cluster: “week / investors / about” . Density (7d): 0.126 (momentum -0.020 , novelty 0.28 ). Cluster labels are auto-generated from the full event neighborhood — actor membership reflects shared AI-sector coverage, not exclusive company-specific coverage.
VST’s primary cluster over time 96 distinct clusters · 114 transitions
Colored band = primary cluster label. Line = semantic_density_7d. Cluster transitions are where the actor’s narrative center of mass shifted.
2026-01-02
AI data centers and energy dynamics
1d in this narrative
2026-02-10
Corporate filings and disclosures
2d in this narrative
2026-03-19
Microsoft's AI Strategy and Market Position
11d in this narrative
2026-04-27
Earnings season insights and stock analysis
6d in this narrative
L2 Expectation Field BUILT V1
Forward views per actor, embedded into the same semantic space and attached to their nearest L1 storm.
adds Turns VST's narrative position into a directional thesis with conviction — a daily forward expectation.
today Latest: bullish continuation at conviction 0.70 . “VST's price continues to lead its narrative, driven by strong AI data center demand for gas and nuclear power generation. This momentum is likely to persist as long as the demand from AI infrastructure remains robust, supporting the current price-led state.”
VST’s daily expectation 129 days · direction = bar color · conviction = bar height
2025-11-25 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The near-term outlook suggests continued challenges as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation remains strong but is not translating into price appreciation. Given the context of repricing and relative underperformance, a bearish continuation is expected in the comi 2025-11-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — Given the current state of repricing and a lagging narrative, VST may continue to face downward pressure in the near term. The positive narrative around gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers is not being reflected in the price action, indicating potential challenge 2025-11-28 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — As of now, VST is in a repricing state with a narrative lagging behind price action. The recent trajectory indicates potential for stabilization, but further confirmation is needed to assess a bullish shift. 2025-12-01 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — As of now, VST is experiencing a repricing phase with a narrative lag. The recent trajectory suggests potential for stabilization, but the current relative performance indicates caution. Watch for signs of narrative alignment in the near term. 2025-12-02 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The recent uptick in narrative strength suggests a potential shift in market perception. However, the persistent negative relative performance indicates caution as the actor navigates through repricing dynamics. 2025-12-03 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The current repricing state suggests continued pressure on VST's price, with a narrative that remains disconnected from the market's valuation. Expect potential further declines in the near term as the market reassesses fundamentals. 2025-12-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing pressures as the narrative remains stable but price performance lags behind. Market sentiment indicates cautiousness in the face of rising competition in the AI infrastructure sector. 2025-12-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued challenges given the current divergence and negative relative performance despite a positive narrative score. The market appears to be undervaluing VST's potential. 2025-12-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued divergence as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation struggles to align with market performance. The negative relative return suggests persistent challenges in gaining traction. 2025-12-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The structural state indicates ongoing repricing pressures, with the narrative lagging behind price movements. Expect continued challenges in the near term as the market reassesses valuation relative to AI infrastructure demand. 2025-12-10 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued challenges as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation lags behind price movements, indicating a bearish outlook. The divergence from peers suggests potential further downside if the narrative does not align with market expectati 2025-12-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation fails to translate into price movement. The divergence from sector peers suggests ongoing challenges. 2025-12-12 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The current trajectory suggests a potential alignment of price with the positive narrative surrounding gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers. A continued focus on this narrative may support further price recovery in the coming months. 2025-12-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — VST is currently in an early state with a declining narrative score and recent divergence from positive sector trends. Price may struggle to gain traction in the short term. 2025-12-16 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — VST's early state indicates a continued struggle as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation fails to translate into meaningful price movement. Expect further divergence as market sentiment remains cautious. 2025-12-17 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued pressure on the stock as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation struggles to translate into price action, consistent with broader divergence trends in the sector. 2025-12-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the current repricing state and persistent price lag against a positive narrative, VST is likely to continue facing downward pressure in the near term. The divergence observed in the sector suggests that even with solid fundamentals, price recovery may be slow. 2025-12-19 · neutral_macro · conv 0.60 — In the coming months, VST is likely to continue navigating a repricing phase with the narrative lagging behind price movements. The trajectory suggests a cautious outlook as the market adjusts to current demand dynamics. 2025-12-22 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — Over the next 1-2 months, VST may face continued challenges as the divergence suggests a lack of consensus on its value despite a stable narrative. The relative underperformance compared to peers indicates a cautious outlook. 2025-12-23 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — As of now, VST's divergence indicates a potential for re-evaluation as the narrative around energy demand for AI data centers remains strong. However, the relative performance suggests caution, with a need for stability in narrative alignment to regain traction. 2025-12-24 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The current repricing state suggests a cautious recovery in the near term, influenced by AI infrastructure demand. However, the narrative pressure indicates ongoing volatility that could hinder significant upward momentum. 2025-12-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued pressure on VST as divergence in narrative and negative relative performance persists. Investors should be cautious of further repricing. 2025-12-29 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued repricing pressures, as the narrative remains weak and lagging behind market expectations. A further decline in relative performance could materialize if structural issues persist. 2025-12-30 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — VST is experiencing a repricing phase with a narrative score trending downward, indicating potential challenges ahead. Given the mixed signals from the market and peers, the next 1-2 months may see volatility as the narrative struggles to align with pricing. 2025-12-31 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued repricing pressure as the narrative remains underwhelming despite minor improvements in NDS. Market sentiment appears cautious, leading to potential further declines. 2026-01-02 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST is currently in an early state with a negative narrative dislocation score, indicating potential for further volatility. The trajectory suggests a cautious outlook as the company navigates diverging trends in the market. 2026-01-05 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — With a narrative score improving to 70 and a positive NDS of +11.4, VST appears to be gaining traction in the early stages. The trajectory suggests potential for continued upward movement in the coming months. 2026-01-06 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — As of early January 2026, VST is experiencing a positive trajectory with strong narrative support, indicating a continuation of bullish momentum in the coming months. The recent uptick in narrative score reflects heightened market interest and confidence in its role in AI infrast 2026-01-07 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST is experiencing a divergence with a strong narrative but negative price action, indicating ongoing challenges in market perception. The next couple of months may see continued pressure as the sector shifts focus to commodity names. 2026-01-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — VST continues to face significant pricing challenges despite a strong narrative presence in AI infrastructure. The divergence suggests ongoing pressure on price performance in the near term, likely leading to further repricing. 2026-01-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — In the next 1-2 months, VST is likely to experience continued repricing as the narrative around AI data center demand remains strong but is not translating into price performance. The divergence trend seen in peers suggests persistent challenges. 2026-01-12 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The early state and positive narrative suggest potential for continued upward movement in the next couple of months. However, caution is advised due to the divergence seen in peers. 2026-01-13 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current repricing state combined with a strong narrative suggests that VST may see upward momentum in the next 1-2 months, although it faces challenges from sector peers experiencing similar divergence. Continued focus on AI infrastructure demand could support this trajectory 2026-01-14 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The confirmed state indicates strong alignment with the narrative, suggesting continued bullish momentum in the next couple of months. The recent positive relative return reinforces the expectation of ongoing strength. 2026-01-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued downward pressure on VST's performance as the narrative dislocation score indicates significant divergence from market expectations. A cautious approach is warranted given the current structural state. 2026-01-16 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture suggests a bullish continuation as VST's pricing aligns with a strong narrative around AI data center demand. Expect gradual upward movement in the coming months. 2026-01-20 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see volatility as the narrative around AI infrastructure demand continues to evolve, with potential for a shift in pricing dynamics. A consolidation phase could precede any significant directional move. 2026-01-21 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — With a persistent divergence state and negative relative performance, VST is likely to face continued pressure in the near term. The strong narrative around AI infrastructure is not translating into price movement, suggesting a challenging environment ahead. 2026-01-22 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST's positive narrative is struggling to translate into price performance, indicating ongoing bearish sentiment. The divergence from narrative strength suggests continued price pressure in the near term. 2026-01-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Despite a strong narrative around gas and nuclear power for AI data centers, VST's price continues to lag behind expectations. The divergence suggests ongoing bearish sentiment in the short term. 2026-01-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural divergence indicates continued challenges in translating positive narrative into price action. Expect further price pressure over the next couple of months as the sector struggles with similar patterns. 2026-01-27 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — As of now, VST is in a repricing state but remains subject to narrative divergence pressures. Expect continued price lag despite positive narrative around AI infrastructure demand. 2026-01-28 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — In the next 1-2 months, VST is expected to maintain its repricing trend as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers strengthens. The positive narrative dislocation score suggests a favorable outlook, although caution is warranted due to recent div 2026-01-29 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — In the next 1-2 months, VST is likely to continue facing challenges as the price remains disconnected from the narrative surrounding its gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers. The repricing state suggests ongoing difficulties in gaining upward momentum. 2026-01-30 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — Given the current repricing state and persistent narrative dislocation, VST is likely to continue facing downward pressure in the near term. The divergence with peers suggests that positive sentiment may not translate into price gains soon. 2026-02-02 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST is expected to continue facing downward pressure as the narrative around AI infrastructure fails to translate into price performance. The repricing state indicates a persistent struggle in aligning market valuation with positive narrative developments. 2026-02-03 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued price pressure as the narrative around AI data center demand fails to translate into price gains. The ongoing repricing suggests a sustained lag in market response. 2026-02-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural divergence indicates ongoing challenges in translating narrative into price performance. Expect continued pressure in the near term as market sentiment remains skeptical. 2026-02-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure as the narrative around AI infrastructure fails to translate into positive price movement, exacerbated by broader sector challenges. 2026-02-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued pricing pressure as the narrative struggles to gain traction. A bearish outlook persists due to the broader sector challenges and VST's lagging relative performance. 2026-02-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the persistent repricing state and negative narrative dislocation score, VST is likely to continue facing downward pressure in the near term. The narrative around gas and nuclear power for AI data centers has not translated into price performance. 2026-02-10 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST is in an early state with a negative narrative dislocation score, suggesting potential volatility ahead. The recent divergence in trajectory indicates uncertainty, but positive relative returns may provide some support. 2026-02-11 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST's recent trajectory shows volatility with a declining narrative dislocation score, indicating potential challenges ahead. However, the relative return suggests some market confidence, which could lead to stabilization in the coming months. 2026-02-12 · inflection_pending · conv 0.60 — The structural picture indicates potential for stabilization with a slight upward bias as price is beginning to follow narrative trends. However, the high narrative dislocation suggests volatility may persist. 2026-02-13 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST is positioned in an early state with a declining narrative dislocation score, indicating potential challenges ahead. However, the relative return shows positive momentum, suggesting a possible recovery if the narrative stabilizes. 2026-02-17 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — Given the early state and negative narrative dislocation, VST may face continued volatility in the coming months. However, the positive relative return suggests potential for recovery if structural elements align. 2026-02-18 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — The next 1-2 months may see continued volatility as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation struggles to gain traction in the market amidst broader sector divergence. Price action may remain mixed as the actor's fundamentals are confirmed but narrative support weake 2026-02-19 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The confirmed state indicates a potential for stabilization, but the negative narrative dislocation score suggests caution. Expect a sideways movement as market sentiment evaluates AI infrastructure demands. 2026-02-20 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — As of now, VST is showing early signs of a potential shift, with a slight positive relative return. However, the narrative dislocation indicates underlying challenges that could hinder momentum in the coming months. 2026-02-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — With the current repricing state and a narrative that is not translating into price action, VST is likely to experience continued downward pressure in the near term. The broader AI infrastructure context suggests a challenging environment for recovery. 2026-02-24 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — VST's trajectory shows a recent uptick in narrative strength, but the relative return remains negative, indicating a cautious outlook. Expect some volatility as the market reassesses its position in the AI infrastructure landscape. 2026-02-25 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — In the next 1-2 months, VST is likely to experience continued repricing as it navigates the evolving narrative surrounding AI infrastructure. While the narrative strength has improved, the relative performance indicates mixed conditions compared to peers. 2026-02-26 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current early state suggests a positive trajectory as the narrative strengthens around gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers. Continued momentum is expected in the next couple of months. 2026-02-27 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current early state and improving narrative indicate a potential upward trajectory for VST in the coming months. Continued focus on gas and nuclear power generation could bolster demand as AI data center needs grow. 2026-03-02 · inflection_pending · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates a potential inflection point, with recent repricing suggesting a recovery trend may be forming. However, caution remains due to the lagging relative performance. 2026-03-03 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing, with the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation not fully translating into price performance. A relative underperformance persists against sector peers. 2026-03-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current divergence state suggests persistent challenges in translating the positive narrative into price performance, with a negative relative return versus the benchmark. Expect further price weakness in the near term as the market grapples with this disconnect. 2026-03-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Despite a strong narrative around gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers, VST is experiencing persistent price divergence. This trend suggests a challenging environment ahead, with limited upward momentum expected in the near term. 2026-03-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The near-term outlook suggests continued challenges as the narrative around AI infrastructure remains underappreciated, contributing to a bearish sentiment. Price divergence from narrative indicators indicates potential further declines. 2026-03-09 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The current repricing phase indicates potential stabilization, but recent narrative dislocation suggests ongoing uncertainty. Expect continued volatility as the actor navigates market pressures. 2026-03-10 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued volatility in pricing as the narrative struggles to gain traction. A focus on gas and nuclear power generation could stabilize interest, but current repricing indicates caution. 2026-03-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued challenges as VST's narrative lags behind market expectations, leading to further repricing pressures. The recent decline in narrative strength suggests a cautious outlook. 2026-03-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST is expected to face continued downward pressure as the narrative weakens and repricing persists. The trajectory indicates a need for cautious monitoring as sentiment remains low. 2026-03-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued challenges as the repricing state indicates persistent pressure on the narrative. Expect limited upside as the market recalibrates. 2026-03-16 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing pressures, with the narrative lagging behind the pricing action. A cautious outlook is warranted as current metrics show a downward trend. 2026-03-17 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The near-term outlook suggests continued repricing pressures as the narrative struggles to gain traction. A potential recovery is contingent on improved narrative alignment with market expectations. 2026-03-18 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — As of now, VST is showing early signs of a potential upward trajectory, but recent divergence in narrative and negative NDS indicates volatility ahead. The next couple of months may see fluctuating performance as the market assesses the implications of gas and nuclear power gener 2026-03-19 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST is experiencing early signs of market divergence, with a narrative score indicating some potential for improvement. However, the negative narrative dislocation score suggests caution as the market seeks direction. 2026-03-20 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — In the next 1-2 months, VST may experience mixed performance as it navigates the divergence state. While the narrative around AI data center demand is strong, the relative performance indicates challenges that could limit upside potential. 2026-03-23 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The near-term outlook suggests a potential stabilization as the repricing phase continues, but recent divergence in relative performance indicates caution. Market sentiment may be influenced by sector dynamics and peer performance. 2026-03-24 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — In the next 1-2 months, VST is likely to experience continued repricing pressure as its narrative struggles to align with market expectations. The current trajectory suggests a slow recovery may be hindered by a lagging relative performance. 2026-03-25 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST is experiencing a significant divergence where positive narrative does not translate into price appreciation. The trajectory indicates ongoing challenges in aligning market sentiment with the narrative around AI infrastructure. 2026-03-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued price weakness as the positive narrative around gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers fails to translate into upward price movement. Divergence persists against sector peers, indicating a challenging outlook. 2026-03-27 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The recent divergence indicates potential continued pressure on price, despite a narrative supporting growth in AI infrastructure. Expect further challenges in aligning market performance with the underlying story. 2026-03-30 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see VST's price attempting to align with its narrative, but ongoing divergence within the sector raises uncertainty. A cautious approach is advised as market dynamics evolve. 2026-03-31 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST is currently in a repricing phase with a positive narrative but lagging relative performance. The next 1-2 months may see fluctuations as it seeks to align with its narrative amid mixed sector performance. 2026-04-01 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST is positioned in an early state with improving narrative scores; however, it faces significant pressure from divergence trends in the sector. The next couple of months may see volatility as the market reassesses its valuation against the backdrop of sector-wide narrative chal 2026-04-02 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued volatility as VST's narrative remains strong but pricing struggles. Expect potential fluctuations as market sentiment adjusts. 2026-04-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — In the next 1-2 months, VST may continue to face downward pressure as divergence persists, indicating a disconnect between narrative and market performance. Ongoing challenges in aligning investor perceptions with underlying fundamentals could lead to further repricing. 2026-04-07 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST is currently in a repricing phase with a narrative lag, suggesting potential stabilization or slight recovery over the next couple of months. However, the mixed signals from peers indicate a cautious outlook as the market assesses demand dynamics. 2026-04-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — VST is expected to continue facing price pressure as the narrative fails to support valuation amidst broader market challenges in AI infrastructure. The repricing state suggests a cautious outlook over the next couple of months. 2026-04-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the ongoing divergence and negative relative performance, VST is likely to face continued price pressure in the near term. The narrative around gas and nuclear power generation is not translating into market support, indicating potential challenges ahead. 2026-04-10 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The outlook suggests continued pricing pressure as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers fails to translate into price appreciation. A bearish continuation is expected in the near term. 2026-04-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — In the next 1-2 months, VST is likely to continue facing price pressure as the broader software cohort struggles under the weight of AI disruption narratives. The current repricing state suggests ongoing challenges in aligning price with narrative strength. 2026-04-14 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — VST is likely to face continued pricing pressure as the narrative surrounding AI infrastructure evolves. The recent repricing state suggests a lagging response to the broader sector challenges. 2026-04-15 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — VST is in a repricing phase with a narrative lagging behind price movements. The recent trajectory suggests potential for stabilization, but uncertainty remains regarding future alignment with market expectations. 2026-04-16 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The structural state indicates a cautious outlook as VST transitions from repricing to an early phase. While the relative return is positive, the narrative dislocation score suggests potential instability ahead. 2026-04-17 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months are expected to see continued repricing pressure as the narrative remains weak and relative performance lags behind peers. A cautious outlook is warranted as the market digests these dynamics. 2026-04-20 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The structural picture indicates continued repricing pressure in the near term, with a narrative lagging behind price movements. The recent trajectory suggests potential stabilization, but overall bearish sentiment prevails. 2026-04-21 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued pressure on VST's price as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation fails to translate into price appreciation, despite strong narrative developments. The divergence state suggests a challenging environment ahead. 2026-04-22 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST's narrative remains strong, yet price continues to lag significantly. Expect continued divergence in the near term as market sentiment shifts away from AI-infrastructure names. 2026-04-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — Given the divergence state and the ongoing narrative around gas and nuclear power generation, VST is likely to continue facing pricing pressure despite a strong narrative. The lack of price movement amidst positive narrative suggests further challenges ahead. 2026-04-24 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The structural state shows a repricing trend with a mixed narrative backdrop. Expect some volatility as the market adjusts to the current pricing dynamics in relation to AI infrastructure demands. 2026-04-27 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — As of now, VST is experiencing macro-level pressures with a declining narrative score, indicating a potential inflection point. The divergence in peer performance suggests a need for VST to realign narrative with market expectations to regain momentum. 2026-04-28 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — With a narrative dislocation score declining and the sector facing a significant divergence, VST is likely to continue underperforming in the near term. The overall macro environment suggests ongoing challenges for price appreciation. 2026-04-29 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — VST is experiencing ongoing repricing pressure with a narrative that is not translating into price gains. Continued divergence from sector peers suggests a challenging environment ahead. 2026-04-30 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the current repricing state and negative relative return, VST is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The narrative around AI infrastructure demand is not translating into positive price action. 2026-05-01 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — With a divergence state and a narrative not being paid, VST is likely to continue experiencing downward pressure in the near term. The positive narrative around gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers is not supporting price recovery as expected. 2026-05-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — With a repricing state and a decreasing narrative score, VST may continue to face downward pressure in the near term. The relative underperformance against peers suggests challenges in aligning price with the narrative. 2026-05-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued repricing pressures as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation serving AI data center demand fails to translate into positive price movement. This may lead to further divergence from peer actors. 2026-05-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST faces continued pressure as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation struggles to translate into price momentum. The broader sector's negative sentiment and divergence from narrative strength suggest a challenging landscape ahead. 2026-05-07 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued price weakness as the narrative strength fails to translate into market performance. The divergence from sector peers suggests ongoing challenges in regaining investor confidence. 2026-05-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST is experiencing a divergence state with a strong narrative but continued negative price action. The expectation is for this trend to persist in the near term as the broader market rotation away from AI-infrastructure continues. 2026-05-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Despite a strong narrative around AI data center demand, VST is experiencing significant price pressure, suggesting continued bearish momentum in the near term. The divergence from narrative strength indicates further challenges ahead. 2026-05-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The persistent divergence suggests continued difficulty in translating positive narrative into price action. Expect further challenges in the near term as market sentiment remains cautious. 2026-05-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural divergence indicates continued pressure on price despite a strong narrative. Expect a challenging near-term environment as the story remains unrecognized by the market. 2026-05-14 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural divergence indicates continued pressure on price despite a positive narrative around AI data center demand. Expect further challenges in the near term as the market remains skeptical. 2026-05-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months may see continued price weakness as the narrative surrounding AI data center demand fails to translate into market performance. Divergence persists, indicating a challenging environment for recovery. 2026-05-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current divergence state suggests continued challenges for VST as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation fails to translate into price appreciation. Expect further price weakness in the near term. 2026-05-19 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST's narrative around gas and nuclear power for AI data centers remains strong, but the persistent divergence indicates that the story is not reflecting in the stock price. With a negative relative return of -9.83% and a high NDS of +52.1, the stock is likely to continue underpe 2026-05-20 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Despite a strong narrative around gas and nuclear power generation serving AI data centers, VST remains in a persistent divergence state. The narrative dislocation score indicates that the story is not translating into price gains, with a significant negative relative return of - 2026-05-21 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — VST's narrative around gas and nuclear power supporting AI data center demand has been strong, yet the price remains sluggish. The recent shift to a 'MACRO' state with a negative NDS of -7.0 suggests a possible stabilization of this disconnect. In the next 1-2 months, VST is like 2026-05-24 · inflection_pending · conv 0.70 — VST's price has consistently outpaced its narrative, reflecting strong anticipation of its role in AI infrastructure. The stock's recent positive relative return suggests investors see potential in its gas and nuclear power capabilities to meet AI data center demands. However, th 2026-05-25 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST's recent price movement is outpacing its narrative, evidenced by a NDS of -52.3, suggesting a potential correction as the narrative fails to catch up. This misalignment, coupled with the sector's lack of dominant patterns, indicates that VST might face resistance in maintaini 2026-05-26 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST's price is currently leading its narrative, driven by AI data center demand for its gas and nuclear power generation capabilities. This demand has contributed to a notable 10.7% relative return over the broad tape despite the narrative score lagging behind. Given the current 2026-05-28 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST's current price-led state is driven by strong demand for gas and nuclear power generation to support AI data centers. Despite a negative NDS, the stock's relative performance has improved significantly, indicating that the market is pricing in anticipated future growth. This 2026-05-29 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.70 — VST has been experiencing a significant price surge driven by its role in gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers, but the narrative has not kept pace. This dislocation suggests that while the price is leading, the underlying story may need to catch up, pointing to a 2026-05-31 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST's current state of price ahead of story suggests a potential correction as the narrative struggles to catch up. The company's focus on gas and nuclear power generation for AI data centers has yet to fully resonate in its narrative strength, evidenced by a negative NDS and rec 2026-06-01 · bullish_continuation · conv 0.70 — VST's price continues to lead its narrative, driven by strong AI data center demand for gas and nuclear power generation. This momentum is likely to persist as long as the demand from AI infrastructure remains robust, supporting the current price-led state. Each bar = one day’s forward expectation. Green = bullish, red = bearish, grey = neutral. Bar height = model conviction at parse time (not a calibrated probability).
2025-11-25 FIRST
bearish cont. 0.65
“The near-term outlook suggests continued challenges as the narrative around gas and nuclear power generation remains strong but is not translating into price appreciation. Given the context of repricing and relative underperformance, a bearish continuation is expected in the comi”
2026-01-02
inflect. pending 0.65
“VST is currently in an early state with a negative narrative dislocation score, indicating potential for further volatility. The trajectory suggests a cautious outlook as the company navigates diverging trends in the market.”
2026-02-10
inflect. pending 0.65
“VST is in an early state with a negative narrative dislocation score, suggesting potential volatility ahead. The recent divergence in trajectory indicates uncertainty, but positive relative returns may provide some support.”
2026-03-19
inflect. pending 0.65
“VST is experiencing early signs of market divergence, with a narrative score indicating some potential for improvement. However, the negative narrative dislocation score suggests caution as the market seeks direction.”
2026-04-27
inflect. pending 0.65
“As of now, VST is experiencing macro-level pressures with a declining narrative score, indicating a potential inflection point. The divergence in peer performance suggests a need for VST to realign narrative with market expectations to regain momentum.”
2026-06-01 TODAY
bullish cont. 0.70
“VST's price continues to lead its narrative, driven by strong AI data center demand for gas and nuclear power generation. This momentum is likely to persist as long as the demand from AI infrastructure remains robust, supporting the current price-led state.”
L3 Expectation Lifecycle Field BUILT V1
Each (actor, theme, direction-sign) is a persistent thesis tracked through typed lifecycle events: born / strengthened / weakened / contradicted / retired.
adds Turns VST's daily expectation summaries into a memory system. Theses you can follow for weeks, not snapshots that vanish overnight.
today 69 theses tracked over the window; 3 active today, 0 persistent (≥3 daily versions). Lifecycle events: born 69 · strengthened 0 · weakened 0 · contradicted 9 · retired 73.
VST’s expectation theses 26 theses shown · 69 total
↓ Arista Networks growth and valuation analysis
─ AI-driven growth and stock performance
↓ AI-driven growth and stock performance
↑ Tech giants navigate AI and regulation
↓ Tech giants navigate AI and regulation
↓ Nvidia's AI Market Challenges and Opportunities
↑ Nvidia's AI Market Challenges and Opportunities
↓ Vistra and Vertiv strategic acquisitions
↓ AI investment strategies and market outlook
─ AI investment strategies and market outlook
↓ Media Mergers and Regulatory Challenges
─ Media Mergers and Regulatory Challenges
↑ Media Mergers and Regulatory Challenges
↓ AI stock market dynamics and trends
↓ Microsoft's AI Strategy and Market Position
─ Microsoft's AI Strategy and Market Position
─ Earnings season insights and stock analysis
─ Analyst Ratings and Price Target Adjustments
↓ AI efficiency breakthroughs and innovations
↓ Market highs amid geopolitical tensions
↓ Earnings season insights and stock analysis
↓ Investment Strategies in Energy and Tech
↓ AI investment and workforce dynamics
↓ Alphabet earnings and AI investments
↓ AI semiconductor market dynamics
↓ Apple leadership and market dynamics
● born▲ strengthened▼ weakened✕ contradicted○ retired
2026-01-02
1 active thesis
2026-02-10
1 active thesis
2026-03-19
3 active theses
2026-04-27
3 active theses
L4 Performance Field BUILT V1
Slices expectations into regions of (theme × direction) and asks, for each, whether forward returns relative to QQQ moved in the predicted direction. 5d / 10d / 20d horizons. Walk-forward — every observation uses only information available on its date.
adds Closes the loop. Realized outcomes calibrate which regions of the field actually pay.
today System-wide: 65 public regions (73 limited, 343 insufficient) across 2,377 signed observations. All-expectations baseline runs 48% at 5d / 50% at 20d — close to chance overall, with edge concentrated in specific regions. 14 public regions are flagged inverted (corpus hit ≤ 30%); the operating layer reads them as contrarian. VST appears in 29 public regions and 9 limited, including 6 inverted.
VST appears in 48 signed regions · showing top 6 by n_obs
theme · direction sample 5d hit 20d hit actors
↓ Microsoft's AI Strategy and Market Position
n=65
55% (+8pp)
55% (+6pp)
17
↓ Nvidia's AI Market Challenges and Opportunities
n=61
51% (+3pp)
43% (-7pp)
19
↓ Arista Networks growth and valuation analysis
n=48
54% (+6pp)
63% (+13pp)
16
↓ AI stock market dynamics and trends
n=47
32% (-16pp)
35% (-14pp)
15
↓ Earnings season insights and stock analysis
n=46
43% (-4pp)
76% (+27pp)
15
↓ AI investment strategies and market outlook
n=45
44% (-3pp)
27% (-23pp)
18
Hit rate = share of forward returns that moved in the predicted direction relative to QQQ. Delta vs the all-expectations baseline (48% at 5d, 50% at 20d). Green ≥ +10pp · red ≤ −10pp. Tiers: n ≥ 10 public, n 5–9 limited (shown with caveat), n < 5 insufficient (hit rate suppressed). INV badge: region flagged inverted (corpus hit_5d ≤ 30% on public tier); operating layer reads the contrarian direction (strike-through glyph shows the original L2 read, second glyph shows the effective direction).