L0 Event Field BUILT
Raw signal layer. Every event becomes a point in a 1,536-dimensional semantic space at the timestamp of its occurrence, with actors linked, source, relevance, and a data-quality flag.
adds Captures every news, filing, transcript, and social post naming INTC, point-in-time, ready for upstream clustering.
today 4,662 events naming INTC in the 131-day window where every layer has coverage (6,400 in the full L0 corpus). Sources: NewsAPI, Finnhub news + transcripts, Reddit, X-amplification, SEC filings.
events per day naming INTC 4,662 total · peak 215 on 04-24
Peak day sample: “Intel Stock Surges 28% After Earnings. Why AI Can Keep Driving the Rally.”
Minor gaps 7 of 131 days in this window had zero events for INTC — longest gap 4 consecutive days. Some of this is real news quietness; some reflects pipeline gaps in Dec 2025 / Jan 2026 / early Feb 2026 (post-holiday weeks where fetch_today.py ran in degraded mode). A targeted gap backfill ran on 2026-05-18 to repair this; daily health checks were added downstream to prevent recurrence.
L1 Narrative Field BUILT / SHADOW VALIDATED
Events embed into a shared semantic space and cluster into coherent storms. Each storm has a stable ID that persists across days through F-002 lineage matching.
adds Places INTC inside a named narrative each day — and tracks when its center of mass shifts to a different one.
today Primary cluster: “amazon / could / billion” . Density (7d): 0.202 (momentum +0.018 , novelty 0.37 ). Cluster labels are auto-generated from the full event neighborhood — actor membership reflects shared AI-sector coverage, not exclusive company-specific coverage.
INTC’s primary cluster over time 105 distinct clusters · 118 transitions
Colored band = primary cluster label. Line = semantic_density_7d. Cluster transitions are where the actor’s narrative center of mass shifted.
2026-01-02
AI-driven semiconductor investment outlook
4d in this narrative
2026-02-10
AI-driven semiconductor market dynamics
2d in this narrative
2026-03-19
Market Sentiment and Investment Strategies
1d in this narrative
2026-04-27
AMD stock outlook and market dynamics
10d in this narrative
L2 Expectation Field BUILT V1
Forward views per actor, embedded into the same semantic space and attached to their nearest L1 storm.
adds Turns INTC's narrative position into a directional thesis with conviction — a daily forward expectation.
today Latest: bearish continuation at conviction 0.70 . “Intel's narrative around the Qualcomm acquisition and foundry pivot is not translating into price support, as evidenced by the negative confirmation state and a NDS of +18.8. The stock's recent underperformance relative to the broad tape (-6.5%) suggests continued skepticism in t”
INTC’s daily expectation 129 days · direction = bar color · conviction = bar height
2025-11-24 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the current disagreement state and the negative narrative dislocation score, INTC is likely to face continued pressure in the near term. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter may not be sufficient to shift sentiment positively. 2025-11-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — In the next 1-2 months, INTC is likely to continue facing downward pressure as the market remains skeptical about its narrative despite acquisition chatter and a foundry pivot. The persistent disagreement state suggests ongoing challenges in gaining traction. 2025-11-28 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture suggests continued downward pressure in the near term, driven by a significant negative narrative dislocation score. The ongoing disagreement in the market signals a bearish outlook. 2025-12-01 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued pressure on INTC due to the prevailing negative narrative and disagreement in market sentiment, despite recent relative outperformance. 2025-12-02 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months may see continued pressure on INTC as negative narratives persist despite some relative outperformance. The disagreement state suggests uncertainty and potential for further downside. 2025-12-03 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture suggests continued challenges for Intel, with negative sentiment reinforced by the disagreement state and declining narrative scores. Expect further downward pressure in the coming months as the market reacts to the ongoing Qualcomm acquisition chatter and 2025-12-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural state indicates continued disagreement, with negative narrative pressure and declining narrative strength. Expect further challenges in the near term as the market reacts to acquisition chatter and the foundry pivot. 2025-12-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Given the current negative confirmation state and declining narrative dislocation score, Intel is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The persistent negative narrative suggests a challenging environment ahead, despite some relative strength. 2025-12-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued pressure on INTC's price as the negative confirmation state suggests a lack of bullish catalysts. The ongoing Qualcomm acquisition chatter may not be enough to shift sentiment positively. 2025-12-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued negative pressure on INTC as the narrative remains firmly bearish and the trajectory shows no signs of reversal. The lack of positive developments in the sector further supports this outlook. 2025-12-10 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates a sustained negative trend for Intel, with confirmation of bearish narratives and relative underperformance against benchmarks. Expect continued downward pressure in the upcoming months. 2025-12-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure on INTC as negative narratives are confirmed by price actions, despite acquisition chatter. The divergence with peers suggests a lack of upward momentum. 2025-12-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Given the current negative confirmation state and a declining narrative score, INTC is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The persistent negative sentiment may overshadow any potential positive developments from Qualcomm acquisition discussions. 2025-12-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — As of now, INTC's structural state indicates ongoing negative confirmation, with narrative failing to translate into positive price movement. The outlook for the next 1-2 months remains bearish, as the market seems to be discounting the potential of acquisition discussions and fo 2025-12-16 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Given the ongoing negative confirmation and a declining narrative score, INTC is likely to continue facing downward pressure in the near term. The lack of positive momentum in narrative despite acquisition chatter suggests limited upside potential. 2025-12-17 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Intel is expected to continue facing headwinds in the near term, with negative confirmation of price trends persisting despite acquisition chatter. The foundry pivot may not be enough to shift sentiment in the next couple of months. 2025-12-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.80 — The prevailing negative confirmation state suggests further price declines in the coming months, despite ongoing acquisition chatter. The lack of positive narrative traction points to sustained bearish pressure. 2025-12-19 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure on INTC as the negative narrative and confirmation persist. The lack of positive catalysts and a weak relative performance against peers suggest a challenging environment ahead. 2025-12-22 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — With the current negative confirmation state and a declining narrative score, INTC is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The lack of positive momentum suggests that the stock may struggle to regain footing over the next couple of months. 2025-12-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.80 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued negative pressure as the narrative remains firmly negative, with no signs of reversal in the structural state. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter is unlikely to provide the support needed for a turnaround. 2025-12-24 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The outlook remains bearish as the negative confirmation state persists with declining narrative and relative performance. Short-term expectations indicate continued pressure on the stock price in the face of ongoing acquisition speculation. 2025-12-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates persistent negative pressure on INTC, with a strong confirmation of the bearish narrative. Expect continued challenges for the next 1-2 months as the market remains skeptical of the foundry pivot and acquisition discussions. 2025-12-29 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates a sustained negative trend, with recent confirmation of bearish narratives. Expect further downward pressure in the coming months as the market reacts to ongoing uncertainty. 2025-12-30 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates continued challenges for Intel, with negative sentiment persisting and a disagreement in the market narrative. Expect a cautious approach from investors in the coming months. 2025-12-31 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates continued negative pressure, with recent performance suggesting a bearish trend is likely to persist in the near term. The ongoing disagreements in narrative and negative dislocation scores point to challenges ahead. 2026-01-02 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure on INTC as negative sentiment persists, with structural indicators confirming this trajectory. Without a shift in narrative or strong positive developments, further declines are expected. 2026-01-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The ongoing disagreement and negative narrative confirmation suggest continued downward pressure in the near term. Price movements are likely to remain volatile as the market reacts to the semiconductor sector's dynamics. 2026-01-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural indicators suggest continued negative momentum in the near term, with the narrative failing to support price increases. Expect further price pressure as the disagreement persists. 2026-01-07 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates ongoing challenges for Intel, with a negative narrative and disagreement in market sentiment. Price trends suggest further downside potential in the coming months. 2026-01-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Over the next 1-2 months, INTC is likely to continue facing downward pressure as its negative narrative persists, despite some relative price strength. The divergence with peers indicates a challenging environment for recovery. 2026-01-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates continued difficulty for INTC, with the negative narrative and disagreement state prevailing. The foundry pivot may not be enough to offset the prevailing bearish sentiment in the near term. 2026-01-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates continued disagreement, with negative narrative pressure expected to persist over the next couple of months. The positive relative return is not enough to counter the strong negative sentiment. 2026-01-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The outlook remains negative as the narrative struggles to translate into price support. Expect continued pressure on the stock given the adverse sentiment and high dislocation score. 2026-01-14 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The outlook for Intel remains weak, with persistent negative sentiment and a disagreement state indicating ongoing challenges. The market's reaction suggests continued struggles despite a pivot towards foundry services. 2026-01-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural indicators suggest continued challenges for Intel, with a negative narrative likely to persist in the near term. Expect further price weakness as the market digests the ongoing foundry pivot. 2026-01-16 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure, given the persistent negative narrative and disagreement in the current state. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter may not provide the needed uplift to reverse the trend. 2026-01-20 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued challenges for Intel, as the current structural picture suggests persistent negative sentiment and disagreement in the market. Without significant positive developments, the outlook remains weak. 2026-01-21 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The current trajectory suggests ongoing challenges, with negative narratives persisting despite some relative price strength. Expect continued price pressure as the market grapples with the foundry pivot and acquisition chatter. 2026-01-22 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — In the next 1-2 months, INTC is likely to continue facing downward pressure as the negative narrative fails to gain traction against a backdrop of sector rotation towards commodity names. The ongoing disagreement in its narrative scores suggests a challenging environment ahead. 2026-01-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued negative pressure on INTC as the narrative fails to translate into price support. The stock remains in a confirmed negative state with significant dislocation from peers. 2026-01-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued negative pressure as the narrative around Qualcomm acquisition chatter fails to translate into price support, amid a backdrop of persistent negative confirmation. 2026-01-27 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The ongoing negative confirmation state suggests continued downward pressure on INTC's price in the next 1-2 months. Despite some positive narrative elements, the structural indicators reflect a bearish outlook. 2026-01-28 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued bearish pressure as the negative narrative persists. The lack of positive momentum suggests challenges in reversing current trends. 2026-01-29 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The negative confirmation state suggests continued downward pressure on price, despite recent positive NDS readings. Expect challenges in reversing the prevailing negative narrative. 2026-01-30 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — Intel's current state shows a disagreement between price and narrative, indicating potential volatility. The foundry pivot and Qualcomm acquisition chatter may create opportunities, but the negative narrative remains a concern. 2026-02-02 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Given the strong negative narrative dislocation and the ongoing disagreement in price action, INTC is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The current trajectory suggests a struggle to regain momentum amidst sector-wide challenges. 2026-02-03 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates continued price pressure despite a stable narrative. The negative narrative dislocation score and ongoing disagreement suggest challenges ahead for Intel in the next 1-2 months. 2026-02-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued pressure on INTC's price due to the prevailing negative narrative and disagreement in the market. The foundry pivot and acquisition chatter may not be enough to shift sentiment in the short term. 2026-02-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — In the next 1-2 months, INTC is likely to continue facing downward pressure as the negative narrative persists and price fails to align with the positive acquisition chatter. The ongoing dislocation in the semiconductor sector adds to the bearish outlook. 2026-02-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the current state of disagreement and the negative narrative divergence, Intel is likely to face ongoing price challenges in the near term. The foundry pivot and acquisition chatter may not be enough to shift sentiment positively. 2026-02-09 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — The next 1-2 months may see continued volatility as the narrative around Qualcomm acquisition chatter and the foundry pivot struggles to gain traction. Price may remain under pressure despite some positive relative returns. 2026-02-10 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — As of now, Intel is experiencing a negative confirmation state, with recent trends suggesting continued downward pressure. The narrative surrounding acquisition discussions does not seem to be providing sufficient support for a turnaround in sentiment. 2026-02-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.80 — The current negative confirmation suggests ongoing challenges for Intel, with limited upward momentum expected in the near term. A sustained negative narrative could continue to influence price movements adversely. 2026-02-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see further challenges for INTC as negative sentiment persists and the narrative remains unconvincing. A lack of positive catalysts could lead to continued price pressure. 2026-02-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The outlook remains bearish as negative confirmation persists, suggesting a continuation of downward pressure on price. The narrative surrounding Qualcomm's acquisition and the foundry pivot may not be sufficient to reverse current trends in the near term. 2026-02-17 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Over the next 1-2 months, INTC is likely to continue facing downward pressure as the narrative remains negative and the market response is weak. The persistent negative confirmation suggests limited upside potential in the near term. 2026-02-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates continued negative confirmation, suggesting downward price pressure in the next 1-2 months. The narrative around Qualcomm and foundry pivot has not translated into positive price action. 2026-02-19 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current structural picture indicates continued bearish momentum for INTC over the next 1-2 months, with price trends aligning negatively against the narrative. The lack of positive catalysts amidst competitive pressures suggests further downside risk. 2026-02-20 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.80 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure on Intel's stock, as the negative confirmation state persists amidst broader sector challenges. The lack of positive narrative developments further supports this bearish outlook. 2026-02-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The outlook for INTC remains bearish as the negative confirmation state indicates ongoing struggles in price performance despite narrative support from acquisition chatter. Continued dislocation from peers suggests limited upward momentum in the near term. 2026-02-24 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.80 — Given the ongoing negative confirmation state and a deteriorating narrative, INTC is likely to continue facing downward pressure in the near term. The recent trajectory suggests a lack of bullish catalysts to reverse this trend. 2026-02-25 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure as the negative narrative solidifies. The lack of positive momentum and persistent negative confirmation suggests challenges ahead. 2026-02-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Given the persistent negative confirmation and a significant narrative dislocation score, INTC is expected to face further downward pressure in the coming months. The lack of strong positive catalysts amidst sector challenges suggests a continued bearish trend. 2026-02-27 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the current disagreement state and negative narrative dislocation, INTC is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The lack of strong positive momentum suggests a challenging environment ahead. 2026-03-02 · inflection_pending · conv 0.40 — The current state of disagreement suggests potential volatility in the near term, with narratives around Qualcomm's acquisition and foundry pivots creating uncertainty. A cautious approach is warranted as the market digests these factors. 2026-03-03 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — With the current negative confirmation state and a significant narrative dislocation, INTC appears poised for continued downward pressure in the near term. The lack of positive narrative traction suggests a bearish continuation over the next month or two. 2026-03-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The current negative confirmation state suggests continued downward pressure on price in the near term. The narrative around Qualcomm acquisition chatter is unlikely to shift the market sentiment significantly. 2026-03-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Given the persistent negative confirmation and the broader narrative challenges in the semiconductor sector, INTC is likely to face continued downward pressure in the next 1-2 months. The acquisition chatter has not translated into positive price action, indicating a lack of mark 2026-03-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates continued bearish momentum over the next couple of months, with negative confirmation prevailing despite acquisition chatter. A lack of positive narrative support suggests sustained downward pressure on price. 2026-03-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure as negative narratives persist and the market reacts cautiously to acquisition chatter. Structural confirmation of bearish sentiment remains strong. 2026-03-10 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The 1-2 month outlook suggests uncertainty as Intel's narrative shifts, with a recent disagreement state indicating potential volatility. The foundry pivot may provide new opportunities, but negative pressures remain. 2026-03-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The current trajectory suggests ongoing challenges for Intel, with a substantial negative narrative and disagreement in market sentiment. Expect continued price pressures over the next couple of months as market dynamics remain unfavorable. 2026-03-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates continued negative confirmation with a deteriorating narrative and negative dislocation score. Expect further downward pressure in the coming months as market sentiment remains challenged. 2026-03-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued pressure as the negative narrative persists and disagreement in market sentiment remains. A pivot to foundry services may not be enough to offset current challenges. 2026-03-16 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates continued bearish sentiment, with negative confirmation prevailing. Expect further pressure on price as narrative challenges persist in the semiconductor sector. 2026-03-17 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure as negative narratives persist, with no signs of reversal in the current trajectory. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter may not provide the necessary uplift. 2026-03-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Intel's outlook remains negative as the current state confirms ongoing challenges. The narrative around Qualcomm acquisition chatter and a foundry pivot has not translated into positive momentum, suggesting further downside in the near term. 2026-03-19 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — The next 1-2 months may see continued volatility due to the disagreements in narrative and negative confirmations, while the foundry pivot remains a focal point. Price action suggests a potential divergence from the negative sentiment if structural conditions improve. 2026-03-20 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The ongoing negative confirmation suggests that INTC will likely face continued downward pressure in the near term, as the market reacts to the negative narrative surrounding the company. A lack of clear positive catalysts may further exacerbate this trend. 2026-03-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.80 — With negative confirmation prevailing and a deteriorating narrative score, INTC is likely to face continued downward pressure over the next couple of months. The lack of positive developments in the sector compounds the bearish outlook. 2026-03-24 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — The next 1-2 months may see continued volatility as the market grapples with conflicting signals regarding Intel's strategic direction. The foundry pivot could provide opportunities, but negative narrative pressures remain significant. 2026-03-25 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates continued downward pressure on price despite a strong narrative. Expect further challenges in the near term as the market favors commodity players over legacy names like Intel. 2026-03-26 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates continued negative confirmation, suggesting further price weakness in the near term. The lack of positive narrative traction amidst acquisition chatter points to a challenging environment for INTC. 2026-03-27 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — With a persistent negative confirmation state and a declining narrative score, INTC is likely to continue facing downward pressure in the near term. The foundry pivot narrative is not gaining traction, suggesting further challenges ahead. 2026-03-30 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The outlook remains bearish as price continues to confirm negative narratives without upward traction. Expect further challenges in the coming months amidst sector-wide pressures. 2026-03-31 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.80 — The near-term outlook suggests ongoing challenges as the negative confirmation state persists, indicating limited upward momentum. The narrative surrounding Qualcomm and foundry pivots may not be enough to shift sentiment positively in the short term. 2026-04-01 · inflection_pending · conv 0.65 — The structural picture indicates ongoing disagreement, suggesting potential volatility in the near term. Price action may remain subdued as narratives struggle to gain traction amidst a challenging backdrop. 2026-04-02 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The current disagreement state, coupled with negative narrative pressure, suggests continued challenges for INTC in the next 1-2 months. The substantial negative dislocation score indicates potential further declines unless a strong narrative shift occurs. 2026-04-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The outlook remains bearish as the narrative confirms negative sentiment and disagreement persists. Expect continued pressure on prices over the next couple of months. 2026-04-07 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The negative trajectory is expected to continue in the near term as structural dislocation and price confirmation of a negative narrative dominate. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter may not provide the expected support. 2026-04-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The semiconductor sector is facing significant headwinds, with INTC's narrative failing to translate into positive price movement. Given the current disagreement state and negative narrative dislocation, a continued bearish trend is likely in the near term. 2026-04-09 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The outlook remains challenging as Intel's negative narrative persists, and price actions confirm this trend. Continued pressure from sector-wide issues may hinder any significant recovery in the near term. 2026-04-10 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months may see continued pressure on Intel as the negative narrative surrounding its performance persists, despite ongoing acquisition discussions. The structural indicators suggest a lack of upward momentum. 2026-04-13 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — The current state of disagreement suggests a volatile path ahead, with potential for further price corrections. The foundry pivot and acquisition chatter may influence future sentiment. 2026-04-14 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.65 — Over the next 1-2 months, Intel is likely to experience volatility as the market grapples with its foundry pivot and ongoing acquisition chatter. The price action suggests potential for both upward and downward movements, depending on market sentiment and peer performance. 2026-04-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued pressure on Intel's stock as the negative narrative persists and disagreement remains high. Price action suggests a lack of bullish momentum despite some relative strength. 2026-04-16 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — The structural picture indicates continued disagreement with a negative narrative backdrop. Expect volatility as the market weighs potential narratives against the current performance trends. 2026-04-17 · inflection_pending · conv 0.40 — The next 1-2 months may see volatility as Intel navigates the foundry pivot amidst a backdrop of mixed sentiment. The narrative surrounding Qualcomm acquisition chatter adds to the uncertainty. 2026-04-20 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued bearish sentiment as negative confirmations persist. The narrative surrounding Qualcomm acquisition chatter and the foundry pivot is not enough to shift the current downward trajectory. 2026-04-21 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The outlook suggests continued downward pressure on INTC's price as negative narratives are confirmed. The lack of positive momentum and confirmation of a bearish story indicates a struggle to regain upward traction in the coming months. 2026-04-22 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The negative confirmation state indicates ongoing structural challenges for Intel, with little indication of near-term recovery. The recent narrative around Qualcomm acquisition chatter and foundry pivot has not translated into positive price movement. 2026-04-23 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates persistent negative sentiment around Intel, with price confirming the negative narrative. Expect continued downward pressure in the near term as market sentiment remains unfavorable. 2026-04-24 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.40 — The upcoming months may see continued volatility as the narrative around Qualcomm's acquisition chatter persists, coupled with Intel's foundry pivot. The mixed signals in the market suggest potential shifts in sentiment. 2026-04-27 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Over the next 1-2 months, Intel's price is likely to remain under pressure as the negative narrative trend persists, despite recent relative performance improvements. The ongoing disagreement between narrative and price suggests further volatility ahead. 2026-04-28 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The current disagreement state indicates continued uncertainty for INTC, with negative narrative pressures likely to persist over the next couple of months. The foundry pivot and Qualcomm acquisition chatter have yet to translate into positive price movement. 2026-04-29 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Over the next 1-2 months, INTC is likely to struggle as negative narratives persist, leading to continued price pressure despite some positive relative performance. The ongoing disagreement reinforces bearish sentiment. 2026-04-30 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — As of now, INTC's price trajectory indicates a persistent negative narrative, suggesting continued challenges ahead. The ongoing disagreement in market sentiment may lead to further downward pressure in the coming months. 2026-05-01 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The structural picture indicates ongoing challenges for Intel, with negative narrative pressure persisting despite recent slight price recoveries. A continuation of this trend is expected, with potential for further dislocation as the market assesses the implications of acquisiti 2026-05-04 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — With a persistent state of disagreement and negative narrative confirmation, Intel is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The recent trajectory indicates challenges in aligning price with narrative expectations. 2026-05-05 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The current structural picture indicates continued bearish pressure, with price action failing to align with positive narrative developments. Expect further dislocation as the market remains skeptical of the foundry pivot and acquisition discussions. 2026-05-06 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Over the next couple of months, INTC is likely to face continued pressure as the negative narrative persists despite some positive chatter around acquisitions and foundry pivots. The price is expected to struggle to gain traction in this environment. 2026-05-07 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — Intel's narrative around the Qualcomm acquisition and foundry pivot remains strong, yet the price is failing to reflect this optimism. Expect volatility as market sentiment grapples with the ongoing narrative dislocation. 2026-05-08 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — As of now, INTC is experiencing a negative confirmation state, suggesting persistent challenges ahead despite some recent price resilience. The ongoing Qualcomm acquisition chatter and the foundry pivot may not be sufficient to shift market sentiment in the near term. 2026-05-11 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued price pressure as the negative narrative persists, despite some relative strength. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter may not be sufficient to shift sentiment positively. 2026-05-12 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — Given the persistent disagreement and negative narrative dislocation, INTC is likely to face continued downward pressure in the near term. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter may not be sufficient to shift sentiment positively. 2026-05-13 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The structural picture indicates continued price weakness as negative narratives persist without confirmation of a turnaround. Expect limited upward movement in the next 1-2 months as the market remains skeptical. 2026-05-14 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — In the next 1-2 months, INTC is likely to struggle with price performance as the negative narrative persists despite acquisition chatter. The ongoing disagreement in market sentiment suggests continued downward pressure. 2026-05-15 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.75 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued pressure on INTC's price as the negative confirmation state suggests a lack of upward momentum, despite positive narratives around acquisitions and foundry pivots. The divergence with peers further adds to the bearish outlook. 2026-05-18 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure on INTC, as negative narratives persist and peer performance diverges. The foundry pivot may take time to materialize positively. 2026-05-19 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — INTC's narrative around the Qualcomm acquisition chatter and the foundry pivot is not translating into positive price action as the market remains skeptical. The recent shift to a negative confirmation state suggests that the price is now aligning with a bearish narrative, despit 2026-05-20 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Intel's ongoing pivot to a foundry model and the Qualcomm acquisition chatter have not reversed its negative price trajectory. The narrative remains strong, but the price continues to confirm a negative story, with a dislocation score showing narrative leading price. This suggest 2026-05-21 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Intel's negative trajectory is likely to continue as the Qualcomm acquisition chatter fails to translate into positive price action. The recent confirmation of negative sentiment indicates that market participants are not buying into the strategic pivot towards foundries without 2026-05-24 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Intel's current state of disagreement with a negative narrative dislocation score suggests continued skepticism around its strategic pivots. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter and foundry transition have not yet reassured investors, as reflected in the price confirming the negative 2026-05-25 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — Intel's stock has been outperforming the broader market despite a negative narrative alignment, suggesting that investors are cautiously optimistic about potential strategic shifts. The Qualcomm acquisition rumors and the foundry pivot remain central, but the market's skepticism 2026-05-26 · mixed_rotational · conv 0.60 — Intel's narrative around its foundry pivot and potential Qualcomm acquisition is currently leading to market skepticism, as reflected in its negative NDS. Despite a substantial relative return of +9.0%, the price is confirming a negative story, indicating that investors remain ca 2026-05-28 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Intel's recent Qualcomm acquisition chatter and foundry pivot have not translated into positive price action, as indicated by the persistent negative NDS and disagreement state. Despite a relatively strong narrative score, the price remains disconnected, likely due to market skep 2026-05-29 · inflection_pending · conv 0.60 — Intel's narrative is currently led by speculation regarding a potential Qualcomm acquisition and its strategic foundry pivot. Despite the negative narrative dislocation score, Intel's relative return remains positive, indicating a potential disconnect between market perception an 2026-05-31 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Intel's ongoing negative narrative confirmation suggests continued downside pressure, particularly as the Qualcomm acquisition chatter raises concerns about strategic direction. The foundry pivot is yet to reflect positively in the market, leaving Intel vulnerable to further decl 2026-06-01 · bearish_continuation · conv 0.70 — Intel's narrative around the Qualcomm acquisition and foundry pivot is not translating into price support, as evidenced by the negative confirmation state and a NDS of +18.8. The stock's recent underperformance relative to the broad tape (-6.5%) suggests continued skepticism in t Each bar = one day’s forward expectation. Green = bullish, red = bearish, grey = neutral. Bar height = model conviction at parse time (not a calibrated probability).
2025-11-24 FIRST
bearish cont. 0.70
“Given the current disagreement state and the negative narrative dislocation score, INTC is likely to face continued pressure in the near term. The Qualcomm acquisition chatter may not be sufficient to shift sentiment positively.”
2026-01-02
bearish cont. 0.75
“The next 1-2 months are likely to see continued downward pressure on INTC as negative sentiment persists, with structural indicators confirming this trajectory. Without a shift in narrative or strong positive developments, further declines are expected.”
2026-02-10
bearish cont. 0.75
“As of now, Intel is experiencing a negative confirmation state, with recent trends suggesting continued downward pressure. The narrative surrounding acquisition discussions does not seem to be providing sufficient support for a turnaround in sentiment.”
2026-03-19
mixed rot. 0.40
“The next 1-2 months may see continued volatility due to the disagreements in narrative and negative confirmations, while the foundry pivot remains a focal point. Price action suggests a potential divergence from the negative sentiment if structural conditions improve.”
2026-04-27
bearish cont. 0.70
“Over the next 1-2 months, Intel's price is likely to remain under pressure as the negative narrative trend persists, despite recent relative performance improvements. The ongoing disagreement between narrative and price suggests further volatility ahead.”
2026-06-01 TODAY
bearish cont. 0.70
“Intel's narrative around the Qualcomm acquisition and foundry pivot is not translating into price support, as evidenced by the negative confirmation state and a NDS of +18.8. The stock's recent underperformance relative to the broad tape (-6.5%) suggests continued skepticism in t”
L3 Expectation Lifecycle Field BUILT V1
Each (actor, theme, direction-sign) is a persistent thesis tracked through typed lifecycle events: born / strengthened / weakened / contradicted / retired.
adds Turns INTC's daily expectation summaries into a memory system. Theses you can follow for weeks, not snapshots that vanish overnight.
today 64 theses tracked over the window; 2 active today, 1 persistent (≥3 daily versions). Lifecycle events: born 64 · strengthened 2 · weakened 2 · contradicted 0 · retired 64. Current persistent thesis: “Semiconductor industry volatility and competition” (bearish, conviction 0.70, 9 daily versions).
Current persistent thesis
“Semiconductor industry volatility and competition”
direction bearish conviction 0.70 daily versions 9 tracked 2026-05-08 → 2026-05-21
INTC’s expectation theses 21 theses shown · 64 total
↓ Chip Supply Dynamics and Competition
↓ Micron and Super Micro stock dynamics
↓ Intel's Strategic Partnerships and Market Dynamics
↓ Big Tech's Retail and Market Dynamics
↓ Super Micro Computer stock analysis
↓ AI-driven semiconductor investment outlook
↓ Intel's Earnings and Legal Challenges
↓ Dell Technologies Growth and Challenges
↓ Intel stock resurgence and optimism
↓ AI-driven semiconductor market dynamics
↓ Super Micro Computer AI-driven growth
↓ Tech Earnings and AI Valuation Concerns
↓ Micron Technology investment outlook
↓ Constellation Energy stock performance analysis
↓ Super Micro's AI and market dynamics
↓ Market activity in tech stocks
↓ Semiconductor market dynamics and investments
↓ AI chip market dynamics and trends
─ Semiconductor market dynamics and investments
↓ AMD stock outlook and market dynamics
↓ Semiconductor industry volatility and competition
● born▲ strengthened▼ weakened✕ contradicted○ retired
2026-01-02
1 active thesis
2026-02-10
1 active thesis
2026-03-19
3 active theses
2026-04-27
1 active thesis
L4 Performance Field BUILT V1
Slices expectations into regions of (theme × direction) and asks, for each, whether forward returns relative to QQQ moved in the predicted direction. 5d / 10d / 20d horizons. Walk-forward — every observation uses only information available on its date.
adds Closes the loop. Realized outcomes calibrate which regions of the field actually pay.
today System-wide: 65 public regions (73 limited, 343 insufficient) across 2,377 signed observations. All-expectations baseline runs 48% at 5d / 50% at 20d — close to chance overall, with edge concentrated in specific regions. 14 public regions are flagged inverted (corpus hit ≤ 30%); the operating layer reads them as contrarian. INTC appears in 21 public regions and 9 limited, including 5 inverted.
INTC appears in 51 signed regions · showing top 6 by n_obs
theme · direction sample 5d hit 20d hit actors
↓ Arista Networks growth and valuation analysis
n=48
54% (+6pp)
63% (+13pp)
16
↓ AI stock market dynamics and trends
n=47
32% (-16pp)
35% (-14pp)
15
↓ Earnings season insights and stock analysis
n=46
43% (-4pp)
76% (+27pp)
15
↓ Market highs amid geopolitical tensions
n=27
56% (+8pp)
82% (+32pp)
13
↓ Corporate filings and disclosures
n=25
52% (+4pp)
36% (-14pp)
14
↓ Micron Technology investment outlook
n=24
33% (-15pp)
29% (-20pp)
4
Hit rate = share of forward returns that moved in the predicted direction relative to QQQ. Delta vs the all-expectations baseline (48% at 5d, 50% at 20d). Green ≥ +10pp · red ≤ −10pp. Tiers: n ≥ 10 public, n 5–9 limited (shown with caveat), n < 5 insufficient (hit rate suppressed). INV badge: region flagged inverted (corpus hit_5d ≤ 30% on public tier); operating layer reads the contrarian direction (strike-through glyph shows the original L2 read, second glyph shows the effective direction).